Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 73.266990 82.462104 91.889315 102.245264 113.270712 124.628745 137.184303
2025-03-16 58.481387 71.542396 85.562563 101.601978 119.319561 138.178488 159.657223
2025-03-23 50.741376 66.061605 83.064759 103.070345 125.714898 150.325632 178.874921
2025-03-30 45.132894 62.121560 81.533893 104.919416 131.920981 161.755564 196.860491
2025-04-06 39.260262 57.177268 78.251522 104.220380 134.765560 169.027065 209.856572
2025-04-13 33.494451 51.774660 73.927949 101.849547 135.287348 173.332674 219.211712
2025-04-20 31.387730 50.722027 74.669844 105.340351 142.530757 185.259009 237.196404
2025-04-27 28.967297 49.020110 74.417389 107.466592 148.032029 195.075796 252.692877
2025-05-04 25.674002 45.861599 72.093371 106.842978 150.069303 200.708601 263.232771
2025-05-11 22.625128 42.766974 69.635238 105.865362 151.524028 205.534551 272.734384
2025-05-18 20.556676 40.879239 68.621160 106.601639 154.992200 212.696181 284.943719
2025-05-25 18.266847 38.461507 66.739501 106.090801 156.809752 217.798854 294.656015
2025-06-01 16.508613 36.724896 65.720471 106.679205 160.022068 224.646516 306.551872
2025-06-08 14.373965 34.195925 63.450926 105.500131 160.915933 228.617071 314.970235
2025-06-15 13.252198 33.201155 63.285268 107.081084 165.294592 236.840569 328.510240
2025-06-22 12.312204 32.421349 63.370885 108.960670 170.033233 245.499981 342.585272
2025-06-29 10.794129 30.478184 61.630486 108.247429 171.340547 249.855343 351.392054
2025-07-06 9.034281 27.878845 58.748409 105.821594 170.305516 251.209837 356.468703
2025-07-13 8.764078 28.065346 60.129814 109.392842 177.196231 262.535646 373.822789
2025-07-20 8.217242 27.652664 60.542680 111.567523 182.223610 271.514701 388.299490
2025-07-27 7.158243 26.079073 59.036501 110.929742 183.448584 275.650133 396.771591
2025-08-03 6.140695 24.442391 57.331718 109.929846 184.131211 279.057418 404.314488
2025-08-10 5.518499 23.584810 56.850569 110.682910 187.164007 285.456622 415.581979